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British Journal of Criminology Advance Access published online on November 3, 2009
British Journal of Criminology, doi:10.1093/bjc/azp067
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The British Journal of Criminology 0:azp067 (2009)
© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Centre for Crime and Justice Studies (ISTD). All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Criminal Trajectories in Organized Crime

M. Vere van Koppen*, Christianne J. de Poot, Edward R. Kleemans and Paul Nieuwbeerta

* Research and Documentation Centre (WODC), PO Box 20301, 2500 EH, The Hague, The Netherlands; Vvankoppen{at}nscr.nl.


  Abstract

This paper investigates criminal trajectories of individuals who are involved in organized crime. A semiparametric group-model is used to cluster 854 individuals into groups with similar developmental trajectories. The most important findings of the study relate to the substantial group of adult-onset offenders (40 per cent) and a group without any previous criminal records (19 per cent), next to a group of early starters (11 per cent) and a group of persisters (30 per cent). Up to date, no trajectory study has discovered such a vast share of adult-onset offenders. Furthermore, the findings turn out to be quite robust, if trajectory analyses are applied to different kinds of criminal activities and to different roles in criminal groups.

Key Words: criminal careers • developmental and life-course criminology • organized crime • adult onset • trajectory analysis


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